so the good news comes first, i can finally fucking withdrawal from FTP. i've decided just to stick with a straight 50/50 BR plan, meaning that i will be keeping 50% of my winnings in the BR and will be taking 50% out for other things (mostly savings). this ill accomplish two major things: 1) it will take longer for me to be able to move up in limits (ie: i go on a crazy sick heater and run +25 buy ins over a week and then decide to take my shot at 200NL and get crushed because i'm not ready) and 2) give me motivation and remind me why i play poker when i run bad because i can just look at some of the stuff poker has bought me (like my new monitor and desk that i'll have in 10 business days!).
so here's the official tally of half of my winnings since 5/25 (the Illinois trip):
so not being a mathematician, i get half of these profits to come out to 1,010 after some quick calculations. we'll subtract the retarded donkaments i played the other day (i NEED to stop doing that) and the 40 i sent to ian that he donked off in a few days and it comes out to 1,010 - 225 - 40 = 745. not bad for my first paycheck, hopefully we can keep it up.
on to the analysis part, i'm going to start giving feedback and all the 100+BB hands that i'm involved in and just make sure i'm happy with my play. i've got 9k hands that i haven't looked over, doubt i'll get through them all right now but here it goes:
88 - pretty standard 200 BB deep. hadn't seen V be very active and even LAG players have fairly polarized 3 bet ranges from the SB v UTG. his play on this hand is atrocious, if i were in his shoes i 3 bet/fold the flop, c/c any turn card, c/f the river if barrel again.
JJ - i thought his 3 bet could have been light given i was just raising to pick up the dead blinds, i don't really think this V was even on that level though. meh -- i'm never folding on this flop and stack sizes are kind of awkward to the point of if i c/c and c/r jam the turn i'm getting no FE so it's very apparent i have a good PP. my hand looks pretty bluffy as played and can see him looking me up with almost any PP if he has balls, i like this after a big of pondering. really i don't see another way to play it other than c/c down all the way and of course to suck out on the river. sets win money :)
AQs - ugh -- i think this is kind of spewy and i just got lucky he's bad. i don't think i have to cbet this flop. c/c and c/r AI a non diamond turn is better, obv lead if the flop checks through and a non diamond comes. i think V is always raising the flop with a PP because of the 3 flush board, and nothing hits this board hard except a flush obv. that said, when he jams the turn he never has a set (he's not floating me with 88 on that board with someone behind him) so he either has a flush which is not often, or i'm ahead. so as played i actually do like my turn line, i think i prefer pot controlling and taking the line i said above though in the future. maybe that's too weak? i'll post this on CP.
99 - standard, don't really know why i bother posting this. too late now.
QQ - also pretty standard, i think i should size my bet on the flop a bit smaller though to induce that bluff more often. V is never really flatting the flop and we're not folding the turn even if he does given the pot odds i'd be getting on his shove, so just make it like 26 and try to look weak.
AA - don't really remember if i had a read for trying to be trappy with my AA pre, doesn't hurt to mix it up a bit though. don't like the flop jam, no need. just call and shove the turn.
AKo - i don't tend to give the donks a lot of credit, esp on boards that are potentially really scary so i went ahead and decided to pop it up with my TPTK. i do this as a bluff occasionally too, so i have to when i hit hard. think V is calling with all sorts of pair + diamond hands. a little afraid he's slowplaying, but when he donks the turn again i think he still has a very vulnerable hand and decide to just get it in. didn't really expect a call TBH, i'll take it though.
JJ - just went ahead and cbet this because i didn't want to give anyone a free card on this board obv, fortunate he bluffed at it.
KTo - just trying to pick up the blinds, get a very fortunate flop and a very bad V. have to raise this because i'm raising as a bluff here a lot, same reasoning as the AKo hand. when he 3bets me he has so little behind and i didn't want to fold this so i just decided to stick it in.
77 - standard, V in this hand is a HUGE fish though. anyone reading this blog i advise looking up that name anytime you sit down, he will hand you lots of money.
T7s - raising pretty light OTB obv. i decide to just flat the flop because raising doesn't accomplish anything other than turning my hand into a bluff. the turn was kind of interesting, i was getting almost 3:! just calling and had a monster draw so i just elected to take the odds he was giving me and call, i do like raising here though a lot. his line looks so incredibly strong, which means he's generally weak at this level. people don't like to lose customers with there big hands, they make it slow. the river is pretty obv call with top two.
67s - standard flop to cbet with ATC, i happened to hit it hard. barreled off on the turn because i had so much equity and wasn't that afraid of getting c/r on this board. i think my river VB is a bit big, something more like 34 i like better. got lucky that he paid it off though.
JJ - pretty standard once again. check this back because there really is no value in betting, don't see a non Q calling here. you're either just taking down the flop or getting c/r by a FD/bluff. turn makes it less likely V actually holds a Q, and this V is the big fish from before that likes to bluff so i give him no credit. river is just a brick and i don't give this guy credit so i look him up, gg me.
ATs - preflop i've been flatting suited aces PP and SC in position like this just looking to outplay people post flop, and because these types of hands all play well multiway so if the blinds decide to come along that's lovely. this also opens me up to flatting my monsters here because i'm going to induce more squeezes due to my incessant flatting in position. my flop raise is standard, my flop call is close i think. i have to call 90 into 142 so i was getting 1.6:1 roughly --
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
33,660 games 0.016 secs 2,103,750 games/sec
Board: 5d 9d Jc
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 43.993% 43.99% 00.00% 14808 0.00 { AdTd }
Hand 1: 56.007% 56.01% 00.00% 18852 0.00 { JJ+, 99, 55, KJs+, QJs }
ehh ... easy call. having the Td really helps because it takes the combo draw crap out of his range like QTd JTd out of his range.
AJo - meh, i would never stack off to this guy now given the history we have. at this point i didn't have a read on him other than he was a regular so i assumed he was thinking. there were draws on the flop and A hi flops are good to bluff at, so i figured just stick it in with good FE. i don't hate this line against an unknown, just a shitty spot in general though.
AA - oh god, this hand. posted this one on the forums so pretty much done with it. the 3 bet on the turn was absolutely horrendous retard spew given stacks because i can't call a shove. just need to call the raise and c/c pretty much any river. V play makes me laugh so hard on this hand, doesn't get old lol.
QQ - ugh -- i could have got away from this. when the UTG player 4 bets over my squeeze and then the MP flat caller decides to get it in warning lights should have gone off that he had a huge hand. i think i was in auto pilot mode and just was thinking "QQ -- get it in pre". had petrochem not called in the middle i just stick it in with no hesitation and this is a standard cooler.
AJo - pretty standard squeeze OTB. i decide to just cbet and get it in on this flop if need be because of the NFD and gutter to the nut straight, again pretty standard IMO.
KJo - V in this hand had been pretty aggressive blind on blind. that said i was planning on bluff raising a lot of boards, a 3 bet pre is better with a hand like KJo though. i go ahead and bluff raise like i said on the flop, hit a fairly good flop as well with the gutter to the nuts + overs (should be bluff raising this to 15ish instead of 11). decide to barrel the turn trying to rep the flush that got there. the river 9 was another beautiful card to bluff at because now even if he just has a lone T he has to worry about that being in my range, which is certainly is. there was no conceivable hand in V range except 9T that could call this river shove -- 99 TT 44 CRAI on the turn, a flush is also probably putting in a CR on the turn and is taking a huge risk checking to us on the river. no one pair hand can make a profitable call on this river, but of course that didn't stop V from making the call. i really like my thought process about V range on this hand and my play in general, pretty sick he didn't fold.
K9s - obv cooler -- V is laughable for flatting A6s in the sb like that but more power to him.
AQo - cooler as well, don't like jamming the flop like i did though. i'm pretty sure i did it to look bluffy, that's just dumb though because nothing can call you. next time i just flat here, shove the turn.
AQs - standard again, nothing you can do and no other way to play this really.
QQ - haha -- this is just funny to post.
K7s - i don't think this is horrible, esp if i had a read V was weak. not sure if i had that read or not though. he's 3 betting TJ and any set on the turn, probably AJ KJ as well. there just aren't that many good hands in his range that can call this river shove. his call is marginal to say the least anyways, but i should probably just try to avoid spots like this because people don't fold that often at this level. against a more thinking player i like it.
JQ0 - didn't bother to cbet this flop because it's just going to get floated/bluff raised so often i don't think it's +EV. as for the turn CR, i think he's betting 99% of his range when i check to him twice so he doesn't have to have anything on top of the fact that there are a lot of cards i can hit on the river that make me very happy (a 9, any club, a J or a Q). river bluff is spew on the blank, he obviously has something and isn't going to fold when an offsuit deuce hits.
AJ0 - i don't always call this 3bet preflop with AJo, not horrible though. post is pretty standard IMO, river is probably closer than i thought at the time. pretty sick he VB QQ there, not many players at this level are doing that when the K hits the turn. i figured he'd be firing another bullet with a lot of PP though trying to get me to fold out a similar hand.
44 - just folding on the flop is standard, i decided to get cute and bluff here though. not bad to mix this into your game, i think it's def +EV.
AKs - this hand tilts me. how does he call a 4 bet with 77? how does he just float this flop? hindsight that cbet on the flop was probably -EV, this player had been super active and calling everything preflop though, just decided to try and take it from him. only 1 tilt effected hand out of all of these though, i'd say that isn't bad.
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1 comment:
half ur HH links dont work :( Good post tho.
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